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“Science, by which I mean the entire body of knowledge about things, whether corporeal or spiritual, is as much a work of imagination as it is of observation… The latter is not possible without the former.” Jose Ortega y’ Gasset, Man and Crisis (1958)  For now, the fall of Bashar Assad’s regime in Syria has [...]

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UN Under-Secretary-General Rosemary DiCarlo on Wednesday expressed deep concerns about the escalating tensions on the Korean Peninsula, emphasizing that the Democratic People’s Republic of Korea (North Korea) is continuing to carry out a five-year military plan launched in January 2021 rather than complying with its international obligations. DiCarlo noted that the constant nuclear program includes [...]

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Though the fall of Syria’s Assad would appear gainful for Israel prima facie, a potential nuclear threat from Iran not only remains, but is plausibly greater than before. One reason for such a counter-intuitive suggestion is that Tehran is now more likely to feel “cornered” in certain crisis circumstances (both foreseeable and unforeseeable) and to [...]

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The G7 Foreign Ministers issued a statement on Tuesday condemning North Korea’s launch on October 31 of an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM), which landed in the sea. The United Nations also expressed concern over the missile launch and the potential threat it poses to “regional stability.” The G7 statement condemned the missile launch “in the [...]

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South Korea and the EU condemned North Korea’s contribution of military arms and personnel to Russia as illegal under international law in a joint statement on Tuesday. The statement follows recent reports that Russia has deployed North Korean troops in its war against Ukraine. According to a White House press briefing, over 3,000 North Korean [...]

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North Korea Foreign Minister Choe Son Hui condemned the recent formation of a US-led multilateral sanctions monitoring team on Sunday, calling it “utterly unlawful and illegitimate.” In a statement released by North Korea’s state-run newspaper Rodong Sinmun, Choe warned that the countries involved in the initiative would face consequences for their actions. In particular, Choe [...]

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“For by Wise Counsel, Thou Shalt Make Thy War.” Proverbs 24.6 For mostly good reason, policy discussions of Israel’s nuclear strategy and doctrine have been intentionally vague and without evident nuance. More specifically, there have been few open-literature assessments of a limited nuclear war and its law-supported capacity for enhancing Israel’s strategic deterrence. Now, however, [...]

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The imperatives are plain. Whatever the trajectory of wars in the region, Israel has a law-based obligation to keep Iran non-nuclear. Immediately and incrementally, therefore, Jerusalem will need to ensure “escalation dominance” during periods of competitive risk-taking. This overriding responsibility concerns both Iran’s sub-state proxies (especially Shiite Hezbollah and Sunni Hamas) and Iran directly. What [...]

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