A Warning on the Third Anniversary of Russian Aggression: The Rule of Law Must Prevail Commentary
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A Warning on the Third Anniversary of Russian Aggression: The Rule of Law Must Prevail
Edited by: JURIST Staff

The third anniversary of Russia’s aggressive invasion of Ukraine serves as a stark reminder of the fragility of international norms and the rule of law. It marks a sobering moment, not just for Ukraine, which has borne the brunt of this unprovoked aggression, but for the entire global community that cherishes peace, diplomacy, and the principles enshrined in the United Nations Charter.

In aggressively pursuing its military objectives, the Russian Federation has steadfastly rejected the very tenets that uphold international order. The principles of resolving disputes peacefully and resorting to force only as a last resort have been cast aside in favor of a blatant display of power reminiscent of historical conflicts characterized by expansionism and totalitarianism. This abandonment of diplomacy in favor of coercion and violence signals a deep regression in international relations. For many, it evokes a disquieting parallel to the darkest chapters of the 20th century, specifically the era of totalitarian regimes led by figures like Stalin.

Compounding this tragic situation is the alarming alignment of Russia with other authoritarian states, such as Iran, Belarus, and North Korea, which not only endorse its actions but bolster its military and political efforts. By forging such alliances, Russia has effectively positioned itself outside the conventional family of nations, reneging on its obligations as a member of the international community. This strategic blunder has extracted significant political, military, and economic costs, exposing the hollow nature of Putin’s ambitions. What initially appeared as a gamble to quickly overrun Ukraine has devolved into a protracted conflict, one in which poorly resourced and poorly led Russian forces, bolstered by North Korean support, face fierce resistance from a determined Ukrainian military.

Putin’s strategy appears to be one of endurance—counting on the West to tire of its support for Ukraine while leveraging time as a weapon. This cynical calculation risks fostering a global environment of uncertainty, where autocratic impulses threaten to overwhelm democratic ideals. The rise of an increasingly disruptive United States, leaning towards authoritarianism in some respects, along with emergent autocratic forces, complicates the international landscape. The potential decline of the UN’s ability to maintain peace and security, as well as the erosion of the rule of law, looms ominously.

However, it is imperative that the global democratic community responds with solidarity and resolve. Accountability remains a cornerstone of this response. The International Criminal Court’s issuance of arrest warrants for Putin and other Russian officials for war crimes and crimes against humanity is a crucial step in affirming that such actions will not go unpunished. Additionally, the Council of Europe’s efforts, in collaboration with a consortium of nations, to establish a multinational court to address the Crime of Aggression against Ukraine must be expedited. Timeliness is critical; a resolution must be achieved by the end of Spring 2025 to maintain momentum and demonstrate unwavering support for Ukraine.

Turning away from Ukraine would be tantamount to abandoning the foundational principles of the United Nations—principles that safeguard international peace and security. The consequences of such a retreat would manifest in a dangerous descent into a world marked by anarchy, turmoil, and heightened conflict.

In light of the Trump Administration’s go-it-alone strategy in seeking a peace agreement with the Russian Federation, apparently leaving out not only Ukraine but Europe, the hope for a just and sustainable peace wanes and is in question. The United States will become a destabilizing influence in Europe, weakening NATO resolve, and giving Putin’s Russia a new hope for victory in seizing the Donbas region.

In conclusion, as we observe this anniversary, we must remember that our commitment to uphold democracy, international law, and accountability is not just a matter of supporting Ukraine; it is about preserving a global order that benefits all nations. The future of international peace and the rule of law hangs in the balance, and it is the responsibility of democracies worldwide to stand resolutely shoulder to shoulder and confront the new axis of authoritarian aggression. The choice we make now will reverberate through history, defining the world for generations to come. Europe must stand up to a new totalitarian United States and resolve to choose democracy and the rule of law.

David M. Crane served as the Founding Chief Prosecutor of the UN Special Court for Sierra Leone and is the Founder of the Global Accountability Network, an organization dedicated to promoting international justice and human rights.

Opinions expressed in JURIST Commentary are the sole responsibility of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of JURIST's editors, staff, donors or the University of Pittsburgh.
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